Showing posts with label model. Show all posts
Showing posts with label model. Show all posts
Wednesday, 17 December 2014

Ebola virus disease (EVD) and the human desire to see the worst...

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Criticism is easier from up here! There are those who just seem to enjoy hoping for the worst. Yes, I'm othering "those peo...
Thursday, 18 September 2014

Updating a model of a modern Ebola epidemic...

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Professor David Fisman, University of Toronto, Canada  published one of the excellent recent models designed to estimate where Ebola vir...
Wednesday, 29 January 2014

A date with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV)..

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Click on image to enlarge. Do regions that host transient high concentrations of MERS-CoV (or a related virus)-positive animals play a key...
Thursday, 14 November 2013

The book of MERS has several chapters yet to write

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Epidemic is a big word, and while it generally means "a rise in the number of cases above what you'd expect", you can see fr...
Tuesday, 29 October 2013

Why palm tress in the MERS-CoV acquisition model...?

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Click to enlarge. See more at earlier post . I have palm trees drawn in as a sort of focus for my hypothetical acquisition model for th...
Friday, 11 October 2013

How mice lie....

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In a nice 9:40 video presentation to TEDMED 2013 , H. Shaw Warren brings us up to speed on some of the shortcomings of using mice to underst...
Thursday, 10 October 2013

Low transmission potential for H7N9 that was....remains to be seen what will be

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Chowell and colleagues mathematically model influenza A(H7N9) virus transmission in a new article in BMC Medicine . They conclude that the...
Friday, 30 August 2013

A model of MERS-CoV acquisition (ver1)

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With thanks to David Spalten (@dspalten) for discussion and considerations and AtRG for advice. First we heard about Middle East respirato...